Cincinnati vs New York Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Cincinnati vs New York: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Cincinnati
Home Team
New York
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Cincinnati
Draw
New York
Statistical Comparison
4W, 4D, 2L
4W, 2D, 4L
27 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
+5
-1
0 / 10 matches
0 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
4W / 6 matches
2W / 6 matches
0W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.4
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 53.7
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 2.7 | Diff: +0.16
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.1
Attack: 92.0, Defense: 27.3, Form: 40.9
Attack: 52.1, Defense: 48.6, Form: 41.7
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Cincinnati
New York
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.2 vs 54.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Cincinnati possess a formidable attacking unit, with Evander accounting for 8 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.7 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.
New York has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Cincinnati's 2.2.
Cincinnati has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
New York has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Cincinnati has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cincinnati faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.2 goals per match. If New York can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Cincinnati. In practical terms, Cincinnati would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
Cincinnati has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Cincinnati
New York
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Cincinnati
4W 4D 2L · 27 goals scored · 22 conceded
New York
4W 2D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
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