Club América vs Mazatlán Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 43.4 vs 45.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Club América and Mazatlán is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.5 and 1.5 goals per game respectively.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Club América — 1.4 goals conceded per game and 1 clean sheets put them well ahead of Mazatlán, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Club América faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Mazatlán can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Club América. In practical terms, Club América would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Club América has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Liga MX match (2026-03-16), Club América prevailed 2-0 against Mazatlán. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Club América secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Mazatlán will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Club América will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.