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Compare Colchester vs Cheltenham

Colchester vs Cheltenham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Colchester vs Cheltenham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Colchester Colchester Home Team
Cheltenham Cheltenham Away Team
Colchester
43.4
W L L W W W L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Cheltenham
35.8
L L L W W W D L L D

Performance Radar

Colchester
Cheltenham

Categories Won

7

Colchester

3

Draw

5

Cheltenham

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
H. Anderson (3 goals)
I. Hutchinson (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.0

League Difficulty: 40.0, Opponent Quality: 43.3

43.7

League Difficulty: 40.0, Opponent Quality: 46.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.15

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.05

1.13

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
43.4

Attack: 36.8, Defense: 61.3, Form: 36.8

35.8

Attack: 40.6, Defense: 31.2, Form: 28.1

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

4
Colchester
Cheltenham
Colchester

Power Rating Breakdown

43.4

Overall

Attack 36.8
Defense 61.3
Form 36.8
Consistency 39.7
Cheltenham

Power Rating Breakdown

35.8

Overall

Attack 40.6
Defense 31.2
Form 28.1
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

40.0 vs 40.0

Opponent Quality

43.3 vs 46.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Colchester logo Colchester
W
Cheltenham (42%)
L
Notts Co (49%)
L
Harrogate (46%)
W
Accrington (27%)
W
Swindon (40%)
W
Tranmere (36%)
L
Oldham (44%)
D
Walsall (40%)
Cheltenham logo Cheltenham
L
Colchester (43%)
L
Bristol Rovers (67%)
L
Tranmere (31%)
W
Newport (42%)
W
Gillingham (32%)
W
Walsall (46%)
D
Cambridge Utd (49%)
L
Chesterfield (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cheltenham A
4 - 1 W
42%
Notts Co H
0 - 1 L
49%
Harrogate A
0 - 1 L
46%
Accrington H
2 - 1 W
27%
Swindon H
3 - 0 W
40%
Tranmere A
1 - 0 W
36%
Oldham H
1 - 3 L
44%
Walsall H
1 - 1 D
40%
Bromley A
0 - 1 L
53%
MK Dons A
0 - 1 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Colchester H
1 - 4 L
43%
Bristol Rovers A
0 - 4 L
67%
Tranmere H
1 - 3 L
31%
Newport H
1 - 0 W
42%
Gillingham H
2 - 1 W
32%
Walsall A
4 - 0 W
46%
Cambridge Utd H
1 - 1 D
49%
Chesterfield A
0 - 1 L
60%
Notts Co A
2 - 5 L
54%
Crewe H
1 - 1 D
38%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.0 vs 43.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Colchester averaging 1.2 and Cheltenham averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Defensively, Colchester is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Cheltenham leaks 2.0 per match.

Colchester has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cheltenham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Colchester has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent League Two match (2026-05-02), Colchester prevailed 1-4 against Cheltenham. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Colchester achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Cheltenham shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Colchester completely dominated Cheltenham in that encounter, raising serious questions about Cheltenham's ability to compete at this level. Cheltenham will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Colchester will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Colchester

Colchester

VS
Cheltenham

Cheltenham

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Colchester

4W 1D 5L · 12 goals scored · 10 conceded

Cheltenham

3W 2D 5L · 13 goals scored · 20 conceded

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