Coleraine vs Carrick Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (39.8 vs 44.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Carrick leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Coleraine's 1.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Coleraine giving up 1.4 and Carrick giving up 1.5 per fixture.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Coleraine has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Carrick is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Coleraine has won 6 of their last 5, while Carrick has won 7. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Carrick faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Coleraine can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Carrick. In practical terms, Carrick would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Carrick, with a 8.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-08-22), Coleraine prevailed 0-2 against Carrick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Coleraine achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Carrick shows genuine quality and mental strength. Carrick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Coleraine will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.