Colombia vs Uzbekistan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.1 vs 56.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Colombia leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Uzbekistan's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Colombia — 0.7 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of Uzbekistan, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Colombia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Uzbekistan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Colombia has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Uzbekistan is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Colombia is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Uzbekistan shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 26.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Colombia. In practical terms, Colombia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Colombia in this contest. Their superior power rating of 62.1, compared to 35.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-18): Colombia defeated Uzbekistan 1-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Colombia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Uzbekistan. Notably, Colombia achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Uzbekistan shows genuine quality and mental strength. Uzbekistan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Colombia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.