Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay Nomads Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay Nomads: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Colwyn Bay
Home Team
Connah's Quay Nomads
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Colwyn Bay
Draw
Connah's Quay Nomads
Statistical Comparison
4W, 3D, 3L
2W, 4D, 4L
10 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
0
-1
4 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.8
League Difficulty: 51.6, Opponent Quality: 52.2
0W / 0 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.12
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.06
Attack: 31.6, Defense: 63.3, Form: 38.0
Attack: 35.6, Defense: 50.4, Form: 17.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Colwyn Bay
Connah's Quay Nomads
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.9 vs 38.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Colwyn Bay averaging 1.0 and Connah's Quay Nomads averaging 1.2 goals per match.
Colwyn Bay has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Connah's Quay Nomads's 1.3.
Colwyn Bay has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 2.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Colwyn Bay has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Connah's Quay Nomads is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
💡 Why This Matters: The 6.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Colwyn Bay. In practical terms, Colwyn Bay would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Colwyn Bay, with a 6.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
These two teams drew 1-1 in the Cymru Premier (2026-04-18). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
0
:
0
|
0'
Colwyn Bay
Connah's Quay Nomads
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Colwyn Bay
4W 3D 3L · 10 goals scored · 10 conceded
Connah's Quay Nomads
2W 4D 4L · 12 goals scored · 13 conceded
Popular Teams