Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Colwyn Bay
Home Team
Penybont
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Colwyn Bay
Draw
Penybont
Statistical Comparison
4W, 3D, 3L
1W, 2D, 7L
10 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
0
-9
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.8
League Difficulty: 51.6, Opponent Quality: 56.4
0W / 0 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.12
Actual: 0.4 | Diff: +0.01
Attack: 31.6, Defense: 63.3, Form: 38.0
Attack: 12.1, Defense: 51.2, Form: 9.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
With comparable strength of schedule figures (44.9 vs 40.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.
Colwyn Bay holds the attacking edge with 1.0 goals per match versus Penybont's 0.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Defensively, Colwyn Bay holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Penybont's 1.3.
Colwyn Bay has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 1.9 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.
📈 Form Momentum: Colwyn Bay has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Penybont is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Colwyn Bay is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Penybont shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Colwyn Bay. In practical terms, Colwyn Bay would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While Colwyn Bay holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-04-25), Penybont prevailed 0-0 against Colwyn Bay. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Penybont achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Colwyn Bay shows genuine quality and mental strength. Colwyn Bay will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Penybont will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Cymru Premier (2026-03-28). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-02-21), Colwyn Bay prevailed 3-1 against Penybont. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Colwyn Bay secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Penybont will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Colwyn Bay will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Colwyn Bay
4W 3D 3L · 10 goals scored · 10 conceded
Penybont
1W 2D 7L · 4 goals scored · 13 conceded
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