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Compare Como vs AC Milan

Como vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Como vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Como Como Home Team
AC Milan AC Milan Away Team
Como
61.5
W W W D W L L L D W

Last 10 Matches

AC Milan
41.7
D L W L L D W L L W

Performance Radar

Como
AC Milan

Categories Won

10

Como

2

Draw

3

AC Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Douvikas (4 goals)
S. Pavlović (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.9

League Difficulty: 85.5, Opponent Quality: 67.6

58.2

League Difficulty: 85.5, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.25

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.35

1.27

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
61.5

Attack: 68.3, Defense: 71.9, Form: 53.9

41.7

Attack: 39.7, Defense: 50.5, Form: 32.5

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

4

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

5
4

61-75'

3

76-90+'

3
Como
AC Milan
Como

Power Rating Breakdown

61.5

Overall

Attack 68.3
Defense 71.9
Form 53.9
Consistency 45.7
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

41.7

Overall

Attack 39.7
Defense 50.5
Form 32.5
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

85.5 vs 85.5

Opponent Quality

67.6 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Como logo Como
W
Cremonese (67%)
W
Parma (57%)
W
Verona (69%)
D
Napoli (70%)
W
Genoa (66%)
L
Inter Milan (70%)
L
Sassuolo (80%)
L
Inter Milan (82%)
AC Milan logo AC Milan
D
Celtic (67%)
L
Cagliari (62%)
W
Genoa (66%)
L
Atalanta (65%)
L
Sassuolo (80%)
D
Juventus (73%)
W
Verona (69%)
L
Udinese (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cremonese A
4 - 1 W
67%
Parma H
1 - 0 W
57%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
69%
Napoli H
0 - 0 D
70%
Genoa A
2 - 0 W
66%
Inter Milan A
2 - 3 L
70%
Sassuolo A
1 - 2 L
80%
Inter Milan H
3 - 4 L
82%
Udinese A
0 - 0 D
68%
Pisa H
5 - 0 W
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Celtic A
2 - 2 D
67%
Cagliari H
1 - 2 L
62%
Genoa A
2 - 1 W
66%
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
65%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
80%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
73%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
69%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
63%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
75%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
66%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.9 vs 58.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Como leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.9 goals per game compared to AC Milan's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Como's backline outperforms AC Milan's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.

Como has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Como has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Como. In practical terms, Como would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Como in this contest. Their superior power rating of 61.5, compared to 41.7 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Como

Como

VS
AC Milan

AC Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Como

5W 2D 3L · 19 goals scored · 10 conceded

AC Milan

3W 2D 5L · 11 goals scored · 16 conceded

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