Comoros vs Zambia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 57.0 vs 48.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Comoros (0.7 goals per match) and Zambia (0.4 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Comoros is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Zambia leaks 1.9 goals per match.

Comoros has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 1.8 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Zambia is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Comoros is on the rise with 3W in last 10, while Zambia shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Comoros. In practical terms, Comoros would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Comoros in this contest. Their superior power rating of 46.5, compared to 27.0 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the CAF Africa Cup of Nations (2025-12-26). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.