Coritiba vs Corinthians Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Coritiba vs Corinthians: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Coritiba
Home Team
Corinthians
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Coritiba
Draw
Corinthians
Statistical Comparison
3W, 3D, 4L
5W, 2D, 3L
15 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
-3
+4
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
4W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 59.1
League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 50.9
0W / 1 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.04
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.07
Attack: 48.9, Defense: 39.2, Form: 29.4
Attack: 55.5, Defense: 62.5, Form: 52.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Coritiba
Corinthians
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.9 vs 54.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Coritiba averaging 1.5 and Corinthians averaging 1.6 goals per match.
Corinthians has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Coritiba's 1.8.
Corinthians has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Corinthians has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Corinthians has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Corinthians faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Coritiba can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Corinthians. In practical terms, Corinthians would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Corinthians has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Coritiba
Corinthians
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Coritiba
3W 3D 4L · 15 goals scored · 18 conceded
Corinthians
5W 2D 3L · 16 goals scored · 12 conceded
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