Costa Rica vs England Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

England has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.0) compared to Costa Rica (SoS: 41.6). This means England's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

England possess a formidable attacking unit, with J. Bellingham accounting for 7 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.4 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, England holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Costa Rica's 1.9.

Costa Rica has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

England has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

England is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Costa Rica is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

🔥 Form Momentum: England is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. England is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Costa Rica shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 56.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for England. In practical terms, England would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: England holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 89.0 against 32.8 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making England a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-10), England prevailed 3-0 against Costa Rica. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. England secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — England completely dominated Costa Rica in that encounter, raising serious questions about Costa Rica's ability to compete at this level. Costa Rica will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. England will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.