Costa Rica vs Honduras Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (41.6 vs 37.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Costa Rica outperforms Honduras with 1.1 goals per match to 0.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Honduras is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Costa Rica leaks 1.9 goals per match.

Costa Rica has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.3 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Costa Rica is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Honduras is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Honduras. In practical terms, Honduras would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

While Honduras holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 5.5-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-11-19). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.