Costa Rica vs Iran Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Context matters here: Iran's schedule strength (SoS: 54.1) has been notably more demanding than Costa Rica's (SoS: 41.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Iran leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Costa Rica's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Iran — 0.6 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of Costa Rica, who give up 1.9 goals per match at the other end.

Costa Rica has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Costa Rica is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Iran is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Costa Rica shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 26.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Iran emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.5 vs 32.8) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-31), Iran prevailed 5-0 against Costa Rica. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Iran secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Iran completely dominated Costa Rica in that encounter, raising serious questions about Costa Rica's ability to compete at this level. Costa Rica will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Iran will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.