Côte d'Ivoire vs Japan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 38.8 vs 45.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Côte d'Ivoire averaging 1.8 and Japan averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Defensively, Japan holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Côte d'Ivoire's 1.5.

Japan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Côte d'Ivoire has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Japan is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Japan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 8 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Japan. In practical terms, Japan would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Japan, with a 7.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams drew 3-3 in the Tournoi Maurice Revello (2026-06-01). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.