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Compare Crawley vs Colchester

Crawley vs Colchester Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Crawley vs Colchester: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Crawley Crawley Home Team
Colchester Colchester Away Team
Crawley
40.6
W L L W L L W D D D

Last 10 Matches

Colchester
48.7
W D L L L L W W W L

Performance Radar

Crawley
Colchester

Categories Won

2

Crawley

2

Draw

11

Colchester

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Richards (1 goals)
H. Anderson (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.0

League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 45.0

44.6

League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 45.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.8

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.1

1.63

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
40.6

Attack: 28.2, Defense: 62.7, Form: 28.2

48.7

Attack: 59.9, Defense: 53.6, Form: 37.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

1
1

76-90+'

2
Crawley
Colchester
Crawley

Power Rating Breakdown

40.6

Overall

Attack 28.2
Defense 62.7
Form 28.2
Consistency 53.2
Colchester

Power Rating Breakdown

48.7

Overall

Attack 59.9
Defense 53.6
Form 37.8
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

42.5 vs 43.0

Opponent Quality

45.0 vs 45.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Crawley logo Crawley
W
Rochdale (38%)
L
Crewe (46%)
L
Watford (40%)
W
York (47%)
L
Reading (51%)
L
Oxford U (59%)
W
Eastleigh (42%)
D
Salford (46%)
Colchester logo Colchester
W
Oldham (36%)
D
Accrington (48%)
L
Southampton (61%)
L
Stevenage (48%)
L
Charlton (49%)
L
Peterborough (46%)
W
Harlow (41%)
W
Heybridge (41%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rochdale A
2 - 1 W
38%
Crewe H
0 - 1 L
46%
Watford A
0 - 1 L
40%
York A
2 - 0 W
47%
Reading H
0 - 1 L
51%
Oxford U A
1 - 3 L
59%
Eastleigh A
1 - 0 W
42%
Salford H
0 - 0 D
46%
Accrington A
3 - 3 D
48%
Shrewsbury H
0 - 0 D
33%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Oldham H
2 - 1 W
36%
Accrington A
2 - 2 D
48%
Southampton H
0 - 2 L
61%
Stevenage A
0 - 1 L
48%
Charlton H
0 - 2 L
49%
Peterborough H
2 - 3 L
46%
Harlow A
5 - 0 W
41%
Heybridge A
4 - 0 W
41%
Cheltenham A
4 - 1 W
43%
Notts Co H
0 - 1 L
44%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.0 vs 44.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Colchester outperforms Crawley with 1.9 goals per match to 0.9, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Crawley's backline outperforms Colchester's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Crawley has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Colchester has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Colchester is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Colchester. In practical terms, Colchester would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Colchester holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Crawley

Crawley

VS
Colchester

Colchester

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Crawley

3W 3D 4L · 9 goals scored · 10 conceded

Colchester

4W 1D 5L · 19 goals scored · 13 conceded

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