Crawley vs Swindon Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Crawley vs Swindon: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Crawley
Home Team
Swindon
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Crawley
Draw
Swindon
Statistical Comparison
3W, 3D, 4L
3W, 1D, 6L
9 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
-1
-8
4 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
0W / 4 matches
2W / 3 matches
3W / 6 matches
1W / 7 matches
League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 45.0
League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 49.7
0W / 0 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.1
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.07
Attack: 28.2, Defense: 62.7, Form: 28.2
Attack: 36.7, Defense: 25.4, Form: 25.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Crawley
Swindon
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.0 vs 34.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Swindon leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.3 goals per game compared to Crawley's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Crawley — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Swindon, who give up 2.1 goals per match at the other end.
Crawley has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Crawley. In practical terms, Crawley would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
Crawley has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.7-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
0
:
0
|
0'
Crawley
Swindon
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Crawley
3W 3D 4L · 9 goals scored · 10 conceded
Swindon
3W 1D 6L · 13 goals scored · 21 conceded
Popular Teams