Cremonese vs Bologna Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.0 vs 62.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Cremonese outperforms Bologna with 1.3 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Cremonese holds the advantage — allowing just 1.3 goals per game against Bologna's 1.8.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Cremonese. In practical terms, Cremonese would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Cremonese has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.0-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-04-05), Bologna beat Cremonese 1-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Bologna achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Cremonese shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Cremonese will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bologna will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.