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Compare Crewe vs Cheltenham

Crewe vs Cheltenham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Crewe vs Cheltenham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Crewe Crewe Home Team
Cheltenham Cheltenham Away Team
Crewe
44.9
W W W D L W D D L L

Last 10 Matches

Cheltenham
39.4
L W L L W W L L L W

Performance Radar

Crewe
Cheltenham

Categories Won

5

Crewe

5

Draw

5

Cheltenham

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

40%

4W, 0D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. March (2 goals)
G. Miller (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.6

League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 46.0

43.8

League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 45.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.94

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.06

1.52

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
44.9

Attack: 31.5, Defense: 66.2, Form: 37.8

39.4

Attack: 50.0, Defense: 31.3, Form: 37.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Crewe
Cheltenham
Crewe

Power Rating Breakdown

44.9

Overall

Attack 31.5
Defense 66.2
Form 37.8
Consistency 50.5
Cheltenham

Power Rating Breakdown

39.4

Overall

Attack 50.0
Defense 31.3
Form 37.5
Consistency 35.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

42.5 vs 42.0

Opponent Quality

46.0 vs 45.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Crewe logo Crewe
W
Northampton (37%)
W
Crawley (46%)
W
Accrington (45%)
D
Chester (55%)
L
Birmingham (55%)
W
Telford (42%)
D
Stoke (40%)
D
Cambridge U (52%)
Cheltenham logo Cheltenham
L
Swindon (39%)
W
Rotherham (38%)
L
Charlton (49%)
L
MK Dons (41%)
W
Slimbridge (49%)
W
Evesham Utd (43%)
L
Colchester (45%)
L
Bristol R (58%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Northampton H
1 - 0 W
37%
Crawley A
1 - 0 W
46%
Accrington H
2 - 1 W
45%
Chester A
0 - 0 D
55%
Birmingham H
1 - 2 L
55%
Telford A
3 - 0 W
42%
Stoke H
1 - 1 D
40%
Cambridge U H
0 - 0 D
52%
Chesterfield A
0 - 2 L
49%
MK Dons H
1 - 3 L
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Swindon A
1 - 2 L
39%
Rotherham H
2 - 1 W
38%
Charlton H
1 - 3 L
49%
MK Dons H
0 - 2 L
41%
Slimbridge A
6 - 1 W
49%
Evesham Utd A
3 - 0 W
43%
Colchester H
1 - 4 L
45%
Bristol R A
0 - 4 L
58%
Tranmere H
1 - 3 L
44%
Newport H
1 - 0 W
44%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.6 vs 43.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Cheltenham holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Crewe's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Crewe is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Cheltenham leaks 2.0 goals per match.

Crewe has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cheltenham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Crewe has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Crewe. In practical terms, Crewe would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Crewe, with a 5.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Crewe

Crewe

VS
Cheltenham

Cheltenham

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Crewe

4W 3D 3L · 10 goals scored · 9 conceded

Cheltenham

4W 0D 6L · 16 goals scored · 20 conceded

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