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Compare Croatia vs Sweden

Croatia vs Sweden Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Croatia vs Sweden: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Croatia Croatia Home Team
Sweden Sweden Away Team
Croatia
63.2
D D W D W

Last 10 Matches

Sweden
28.6
L L D D

Performance Radar

Croatia
Sweden

Categories Won

10

Croatia

3

Draw

2

Sweden

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

2W, 3D, 0L

0%

0W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

8 / 5 matches

1.0

4 / 4 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

4 / 5 matches

2.5

10 / 4 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
40%

2 / 5 matches

0%

0 / 4 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

2 / 5 matches

75%

3 / 4 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

3 / 5 matches

75%

3 / 4 matches

Top Scorer
F. Krivak (1 goals)
P. Amoran (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.3

League Difficulty: 77.0, Opponent Quality: 69.2

54.2

League Difficulty: 72.5, Opponent Quality: 72.0

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.06

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.46

1.2

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.2

Adjusted Power Rating
63.2

Attack: 60.4, Defense: 83.1, Form: 45.3

28.6

Attack: 34.7, Defense: 17.4, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

61-75'

1

76-90+'

1
Croatia
Sweden
Croatia

Power Rating Breakdown

63.2

Overall

Attack 60.4
Defense 83.1
Form 45.3
Consistency 71.2
Sweden

Power Rating Breakdown

28.6

Overall

Attack 34.7
Defense 17.4
Form 0.0
Consistency 92.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

77.0 vs 72.5

Opponent Quality

69.2 vs 72.0

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Croatia logo Croatia
D
Rep. Ireland (72%)
D
Greece (76%)
W
Turkey U21 (61%)
D
Sweden (65%)
W
Rep. Ireland (72%)
Sweden logo Sweden
L
Finland (83%)
L
Italy (70%)
D
Montenegro (57%)
D
Croatia (78%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rep. Ireland H
2 - 2 D
72%
Greece H
1 - 1 D
76%
Turkey U21 H
3 - 0 W
61%
Sweden H
1 - 1 D
65%
Rep. Ireland H
1 - 0 W
72%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Finland H
1 - 3 L
83%
Italy H
0 - 4 L
70%
Montenegro H
2 - 2 D
57%
Croatia A
1 - 1 D
78%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.3 vs 54.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Croatia holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Sweden's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Croatia is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Sweden leaks 2.5 per match.

Croatia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sweden has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Croatia is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (60.4), defense (83.1), and form (45.3) leaves little room for doubt. Sweden will need an exceptional performance to compete.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Under 21 Internationals (2025-06-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Croatia

Croatia

VS
Sweden

Sweden

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Croatia

2W 3D 0L · 8 goals scored · 4 conceded

Sweden

0W 2D 2L · 4 goals scored · 10 conceded

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