Croatia vs Turkey U21 Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (63.3 vs 69.6), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Croatia outperforms Turkey U21 with 1.6 goals per match to 0.7, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Croatia holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against Turkey U21's 1.3.

Croatia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Turkey U21 has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Croatia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Turkey U21 is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Croatia. In practical terms, Croatia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Croatia emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (63.2 vs 45.2) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent UEFA Under 21 Championship Qualifiers match (2026-03-31), Croatia prevailed 3-0 against Turkey U21. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Croatia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Croatia completely dominated Turkey U21 in that encounter, raising serious questions about Turkey U21's ability to compete at this level. Turkey U21 will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Croatia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.