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Compare Crusaders vs Glenavon

Crusaders vs Glenavon Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Crusaders vs Glenavon: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Crusaders Crusaders Home Team
Glenavon Glenavon Away Team
Crusaders
49.8
W W L W D L W D L W

Last 10 Matches

Glenavon
32.7
D L L L L D D D L W

Performance Radar

Crusaders
Glenavon

Categories Won

12

Crusaders

2

Draw

1

Glenavon

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-9

-9

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Brooks (3 goals)
P. Burns (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
57%

4W / 7 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
43.4

League Difficulty: 44.1, Opponent Quality: 42.9

47.7

League Difficulty: 42.9, Opponent Quality: 50.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.51

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.09

0.7

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.1

Adjusted Power Rating
49.8

Attack: 49.8, Defense: 56.0, Form: 46.7

32.7

Attack: 26.1, Defense: 42.3, Form: 9.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
Crusaders
Glenavon
Crusaders

Power Rating Breakdown

49.8

Overall

Attack 49.8
Defense 56.0
Form 46.7
Consistency 45.7
Glenavon

Power Rating Breakdown

32.7

Overall

Attack 26.1
Defense 42.3
Form 9.8
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

44.1 vs 42.9

Opponent Quality

42.9 vs 50.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Crusaders logo Crusaders
W
Portadown (42%)
W
Ballymena Utd (50%)
L
Cliftonville (60%)
W
Dundela (37%)
D
Newington (40%)
L
Moyola Park (38%)
W
Glenavon (34%)
D
Ballinamallard (40%)
Glenavon logo Glenavon
D
Ballymena Utd (51%)
L
Crusaders (56%)
L
Doncaster (48%)
L
Carrick (56%)
L
Crusaders (50%)
D
Bangor (49%)
D
Ballymena Utd (55%)
D
Portadown (42%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Portadown H
3 - 2 W
42%
Ballymena Utd H
2 - 1 W
50%
Cliftonville A
1 - 2 L
60%
Dundela H
2 - 0 W
37%
Newington H
1 - 1 D
40%
Moyola Park A
1 - 2 L
38%
Glenavon H
2 - 0 W
34%
Ballinamallard H
0 - 0 D
40%
Annagh Utd H
1 - 2 L
43%
Annagh Utd A
3 - 2 W
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ballymena Utd H
1 - 1 D
51%
Crusaders A
0 - 2 L
56%
Doncaster H
0 - 5 L
48%
Carrick H
2 - 3 L
56%
Crusaders H
0 - 1 L
50%
Bangor A
0 - 0 D
49%
Ballymena Utd A
1 - 1 D
55%
Portadown H
1 - 1 D
42%
Larne H
0 - 3 L
47%
Crusaders A
3 - 0 W
55%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (43.4 vs 47.7), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Crusaders holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Glenavon's 0.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Crusaders's backline outperforms Glenavon's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.

Crusaders has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Glenavon has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Crusaders has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Glenavon is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Crusaders is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Glenavon shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Crusaders. In practical terms, Crusaders would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Crusaders emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (49.8 vs 32.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-21), Crusaders prevailed 2-0 against Glenavon. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Crusaders secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Glenavon will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Crusaders will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-04-18), Crusaders prevailed 0-1 against Glenavon. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Crusaders achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Glenavon shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Glenavon will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Crusaders will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-03-14), Glenavon prevailed 0-3 against Crusaders. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Glenavon achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Crusaders shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Glenavon completely dominated Crusaders in that encounter, raising serious questions about Crusaders's ability to compete at this level. Crusaders will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Glenavon will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Crusaders

Crusaders

VS
Glenavon

Glenavon

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Crusaders

5W 2D 3L · 16 goals scored · 12 conceded

Glenavon

1W 4D 5L · 8 goals scored · 17 conceded

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