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Compare C Palace vs Burnley

C Palace vs Burnley Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare C Palace vs Burnley: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

C Palace C Palace Home Team
Burnley Burnley Away Team
C Palace
46.1
L W W L W W L D L D

Last 10 Matches

Burnley
33.7
L D D L D L L D L D

Performance Radar

C Palace
Burnley

Categories Won

11

C Palace

2

Draw

2

Burnley

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

0%

0W, 5D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Mateta (3 goals)
Z. Flemming (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
51.4

League Difficulty: 74.8, Opponent Quality: 61.4

48.1

League Difficulty: 64.9, Opponent Quality: 63.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.63

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.03

1.22

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
46.1

Attack: 54.1, Defense: 43.9, Form: 40.6

33.7

Attack: 36.0, Defense: 36.0, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

1

31-45'

2

46-60'

3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
C Palace
Burnley
C Palace

Power Rating Breakdown

46.1

Overall

Attack 54.1
Defense 43.9
Form 40.6
Consistency 44.8
Burnley

Power Rating Breakdown

33.7

Overall

Attack 36.0
Defense 36.0
Form 0.0
Consistency 92.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

74.8 vs 64.9

Opponent Quality

61.4 vs 63.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
C Palace logo C Palace
L
Everton (73%)
W
Fulham (48%)
W
Ula (43%)
L
Bromley (48%)
W
Swindon (36%)
W
Rayo (56%)
L
Arsenal (78%)
D
Brentford (81%)
Burnley logo Burnley
L
West Brom (80%)
D
West Ham (57%)
D
Notts Co (46%)
L
Torino (51%)
D
Espanyol (53%)
L
Ajax (73%)
L
Salt Lake (50%)
D
Wolves (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Everton A
0 - 2 L
73%
Fulham A
2 - 1 W
48%
Ula H
3 - 1 W
43%
Bromley A
0 - 3 L
48%
Swindon H
5 - 1 W
36%
Rayo H
1 - 0 W
56%
Arsenal H
1 - 2 L
78%
Brentford A
2 - 2 D
81%
Man City A
0 - 3 L
83%
Everton H
2 - 2 D
68%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
West Brom A
1 - 3 L
80%
West Ham H
2 - 2 D
57%
Notts Co H
1 - 1 D
46%
Torino H
0 - 1 L
51%
Espanyol H
2 - 2 D
53%
Ajax A
1 - 2 L
73%
Salt Lake A
1 - 4 L
50%
Wolves H
1 - 1 D
76%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
83%
A Villa H
2 - 2 D
64%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (51.4 vs 48.1), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, C Palace outperforms Burnley with 1.6 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with C Palace giving up 1.7 and Burnley giving up 1.9 per fixture.

C Palace has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Burnley has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Burnley is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. C Palace is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Burnley shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, C Palace faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Burnley can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for C Palace. In practical terms, C Palace would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

C Palace has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

C Palace

C Palace

VS
Burnley

Burnley

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

C Palace

4W 2D 4L · 16 goals scored · 17 conceded

Burnley

0W 5D 5L · 11 goals scored · 19 conceded

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