Cuba vs Antigua Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.9 vs 45.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Cuba outperforms Antigua with 0.9 goals per match to 0.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Both defenses are comparable, with Cuba conceding 1.9 and Antigua conceding 1.8 per match.

Cuba has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cuba is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Antigua is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cuba faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.9 goals per match. If Antigua can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Cuba. In practical terms, Cuba would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Cuba holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-06-06): Cuba defeated Antigua 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Cuba's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Antigua. Notably, Cuba achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Antigua shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Antigua will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cuba will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.