Cuba vs Bermuda Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (48.9 vs 48.1), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Cuba averaging 0.9 and Bermuda averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Defensively, Cuba is far superior, conceding just 1.9 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Bermuda leaks 2.9 goals per match.

Cuba has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bermuda has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cuba is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bermuda is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cuba faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.9 goals per match. If Bermuda can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Cuba. In practical terms, Cuba would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Cuba has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.8-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-06-10): Bermuda defeated Cuba 1-2. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Bermuda's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Cuba. Notably, Bermuda achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Cuba shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bermuda will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.