Cuba vs St. Vincent Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Context matters here: St. Vincent's schedule strength (SoS: 60.8) has been notably more demanding than Cuba's (SoS: 48.9), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

St. Vincent possess a formidable attacking unit, with O. Anderson accounting for 6 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 3.0 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

St. Vincent holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Cuba's leaky backline that surrenders 1.9 goals per match.

Cuba has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Vincent has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

St. Vincent has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cuba is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: St. Vincent has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.14 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. St. Vincent is on the rise with 5W in last 7, while Cuba shows signs of decline with 2W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, St. Vincent faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Cuba can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 44.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Vincent. In practical terms, St. Vincent would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, St. Vincent emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 78.8 compared to 33.9, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects St. Vincent as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Internationals match (2025-10-09), St. Vincent prevailed 1-0 against Cuba. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. St. Vincent secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. St. Vincent will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals match (2025-10-06), St. Vincent prevailed 7-0 against Cuba. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. St. Vincent secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 7-0 scoreline was emphatic — St. Vincent completely dominated Cuba in that encounter, raising serious questions about Cuba's ability to compete at this level. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. St. Vincent will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.