Curzon Ashton vs Merthyr Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Curzon Ashton vs Merthyr: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Curzon Ashton
Home Team
Merthyr
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Curzon Ashton
Draw
Merthyr
Statistical Comparison
1W, 4D, 5L
2W, 2D, 6L
10 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
-11
-6
2 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
0W / 5 matches
1W / 6 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 42.3
League Difficulty: 34.5, Opponent Quality: 45.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.16
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.08
Attack: 29.3, Defense: 26.4, Form: 8.8
Attack: 45.5, Defense: 27.3, Form: 18.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Curzon Ashton
Merthyr
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 38.0 vs 40.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Merthyr leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Curzon Ashton's 1.0 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, Curzon Ashton and Merthyr are evenly matched, allowing 2.1 and 2.1 goals per game respectively.
Curzon Ashton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Merthyr has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Curzon Ashton is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Merthyr is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Merthyr faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.1 goals per match. If Curzon Ashton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Merthyr. In practical terms, Merthyr would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Merthyr has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
0
:
0
|
0'
Curzon Ashton
Merthyr
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Curzon Ashton
1W 4D 5L · 10 goals scored · 21 conceded
Merthyr
2W 2D 6L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded
Popular Teams