Curzon Ashton vs Southport Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 38.0 vs 37.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Southport outperforms Curzon Ashton with 1.7 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Southport has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Curzon Ashton's 2.1.

Curzon Ashton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Southport has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Southport is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Curzon Ashton is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Southport has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Southport is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Curzon Ashton shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Southport faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Curzon Ashton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Southport. In practical terms, Southport would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Southport in this contest. Their superior power rating of 46.3, compared to 29.4 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-06), Southport prevailed 1-3 against Curzon Ashton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Southport achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Curzon Ashton shows genuine quality and mental strength. Curzon Ashton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Southport will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.