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Compare DC United vs Austin

DC United vs Austin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare DC United vs Austin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

DC United DC United Home Team
Austin Austin Away Team
DC United
35.5
L L D D W D D D L D

Last 10 Matches

Austin
30.1
D W L L L W L L L D

Performance Radar

DC United
Austin

Categories Won

7

DC United

4

Draw

4

Austin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 6D, 3L

20%

2W, 2D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Baribo (6 goals)
M. Uzuni (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 58.4

40.1

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.49

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.01

0.95

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.05

Adjusted Power Rating
35.5

Attack: 46.2, Defense: 27.7, Form: 9.2

30.1

Attack: 30.0, Defense: 27.0, Form: 18.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

4
DC United
Austin
DC United

Power Rating Breakdown

35.5

Overall

Attack 46.2
Defense 27.7
Form 9.2
Consistency 79.3
Austin

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 30.0
Defense 27.0
Form 18.0
Consistency 59.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

58.4 vs 51.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
DC United logo DC United
L
Charlotte (64%)
L
New England (48%)
D
Montréal (50%)
D
Nashville (67%)
W
Toronto (44%)
D
Houston (70%)
D
Montréal (45%)
D
St. Louis (68%)
Austin logo Austin
D
Philadelphia (52%)
W
Sounders (36%)
L
Dallas (53%)
L
Colorado (54%)
L
Houston (70%)
W
Sounders (31%)
L
St. Louis (72%)
L
Sporting KC (41%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Charlotte A
1 - 3 L
64%
New England H
0 - 3 L
48%
Montréal A
1 - 1 D
50%
Nashville H
2 - 2 D
67%
Toronto H
2 - 1 W
44%
Houston A
1 - 1 D
70%
Montréal H
4 - 4 D
45%
St. Louis H
1 - 1 D
68%
Chicago H
1 - 3 L
56%
Nashville A
2 - 2 D
72%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Philadelphia H
1 - 1 D
52%
Sounders A
2 - 1 W
36%
Dallas H
1 - 2 L
53%
Colorado A
0 - 1 L
54%
Houston A
0 - 3 L
70%
Sounders H
3 - 1 W
31%
St. Louis A
0 - 3 L
72%
Sporting KC H
1 - 2 L
41%
San Diego A
0 - 5 L
59%
Minnesota A
2 - 2 D
50%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.4 vs 40.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

DC United leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Austin's 1.0 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with DC United conceding 2.1 and Austin conceding 2.1 per match.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: DC United is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Austin is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, DC United faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.1 goals per match. If Austin can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for DC United. In practical terms, DC United would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward DC United, with a 5.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

DC United

DC United

VS
Austin

Austin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

DC United

1W 6D 3L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded

Austin

2W 2D 6L · 10 goals scored · 21 conceded

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