DC United vs Nashville Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.4 vs 52.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Nashville leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to DC United's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Nashville — 0.9 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of DC United, who give up 2.1 goals per match at the other end.

Nashville has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Nashville has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: DC United is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

🔥 Form Momentum: Nashville is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Nashville is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while DC United shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 37.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Nashville. In practical terms, Nashville would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Nashville holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 73.2 against 35.5 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Nashville a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer (2026-08-02). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams drew 2-2 in the US Major League Soccer (2026-05-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.