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Compare DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United vs Philadelphia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare DC United vs Philadelphia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

DC United DC United Home Team
Philadelphia Philadelphia Away Team
DC United
35.5
L L D D W D D D L D

Last 10 Matches

Philadelphia
49.8
D D W W W W L D L L

Performance Radar

DC United
Philadelphia

Categories Won

0

DC United

5

Draw

10

Philadelphia

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 6D, 3L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Baribo (6 goals)
M. Iloski (8 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 58.4

51.8

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 49.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.49

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.01

2.22

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
35.5

Attack: 46.2, Defense: 27.7, Form: 9.2

49.8

Attack: 74.7, Defense: 30.5, Form: 40.7

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
3

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

5
1

61-75'

6
5

76-90+'

3
DC United
Philadelphia
DC United

Power Rating Breakdown

35.5

Overall

Attack 46.2
Defense 27.7
Form 9.2
Consistency 79.3
Philadelphia

Power Rating Breakdown

49.8

Overall

Attack 74.7
Defense 30.5
Form 40.7
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

58.4 vs 49.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
DC United logo DC United
L
Charlotte (64%)
L
New England (48%)
D
Montréal (50%)
D
Nashville (67%)
W
Toronto (44%)
D
Houston (70%)
D
Montréal (45%)
D
St. Louis (68%)
Philadelphia logo Philadelphia
D
Austin (42%)
D
Inter Miami (60%)
W
NYCFC (58%)
W
Atlanta United (44%)
W
Sounders (31%)
W
New York (49%)
L
Inter Miami (65%)
D
Columbus (40%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Charlotte A
1 - 3 L
64%
New England H
0 - 3 L
48%
Montréal A
1 - 1 D
50%
Nashville H
2 - 2 D
67%
Toronto H
2 - 1 W
44%
Houston A
1 - 1 D
70%
Montréal H
4 - 4 D
45%
St. Louis H
1 - 1 D
68%
Chicago H
1 - 3 L
56%
Nashville A
2 - 2 D
72%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Austin A
1 - 1 D
42%
Inter Miami H
2 - 2 D
60%
NYCFC A
3 - 2 W
58%
Atlanta United H
3 - 2 W
44%
Sounders H
1 - 0 W
31%
New York H
3 - 1 W
49%
Inter Miami A
4 - 6 L
65%
Columbus H
1 - 1 D
40%
Orlando A
3 - 4 L
54%
New England A
1 - 2 L
53%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (42.4 vs 51.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Philadelphia holds the attacking edge with 2.2 goals per match versus DC United's 1.5, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, DC United and Philadelphia are evenly matched, allowing 2.1 and 2.1 goals per game respectively.

Philadelphia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: DC United is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Philadelphia has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Philadelphia is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while DC United shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Philadelphia faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.1 goals per match. If DC United can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Philadelphia. In practical terms, Philadelphia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Philadelphia holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

DC United

DC United

VS
Philadelphia

Philadelphia

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

DC United

1W 6D 3L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded

Philadelphia

4W 3D 3L · 22 goals scored · 21 conceded

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