Degerfors vs Mjällby Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.4 vs 53.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Mjällby's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with Á. Samuelsen leading the charge (4 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Mjällby has the defensive edge, conceding 1.4 per match compared to Degerfors's 1.9.

Degerfors has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Degerfors is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Mjällby is on the rise with 3W in last 10, while Degerfors shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Mjällby faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Degerfors can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Mjällby. In practical terms, Mjällby would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Mjällby in this contest. Their superior power rating of 50.4, compared to 30.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Swedish Allsvenskan match (2026-05-09), Mjällby prevailed 1-4 against Degerfors. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Mjällby achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Degerfors shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Mjällby completely dominated Degerfors in that encounter, raising serious questions about Degerfors's ability to compete at this level. Degerfors will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mjällby will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.