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Compare Dender vs Cercle Brugge

Dender vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Dender vs Cercle Brugge: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Dender Dender Home Team
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge Away Team
Dender
31.5
D L L W L L L W L L

Last 10 Matches

Cercle Brugge
41.4
L L L W W W D W L L

Performance Radar

Dender
Cercle Brugge

Categories Won

2

Dender

2

Draw

11

Cercle Brugge

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 1D, 7L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-9

-9

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

100%

10 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Berte (2 goals)
O. Diakité (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
40.9

League Difficulty: 56.6, Opponent Quality: 52.1

42.1

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 52.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.95

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.05

1.88

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
31.5

Attack: 30.3, Defense: 33.3, Form: 18.2

41.4

Attack: 58.3, Defense: 27.6, Form: 36.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

4
3

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

4
2

76-90+'

2
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Dender

Power Rating Breakdown

31.5

Overall

Attack 30.3
Defense 33.3
Form 18.2
Consistency 57.7
Cercle Brugge

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 58.3
Defense 27.6
Form 36.8
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

56.6 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

52.1 vs 52.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Dender logo Dender
D
Lommel (40%)
L
Lommel (42%)
L
ZW (66%)
W
La Louvière (34%)
L
Cercle Brugge (48%)
L
Cercle Brugge (43%)
L
ZW (72%)
W
La Louvière (51%)
Cercle Brugge logo Cercle Brugge
L
Reims (55%)
L
La Louvière (39%)
L
ZW (61%)
W
Dender (32%)
W
Dender (37%)
W
La Louvière (46%)
D
ZW (77%)
W
Anderlecht (58%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lommel H
0 - 0 D
40%
Lommel A
2 - 3 L
42%
ZW A
1 - 2 L
66%
La Louvière H
2 - 1 W
34%
Cercle Brugge A
1 - 2 L
48%
Cercle Brugge H
1 - 4 L
43%
ZW H
1 - 2 L
72%
La Louvière A
1 - 0 W
51%
Gent H
1 - 3 L
52%
R. Union SG A
0 - 2 L
73%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Reims A
0 - 3 L
55%
La Louvière A
1 - 4 L
39%
ZW H
2 - 3 L
61%
Dender H
2 - 1 W
32%
Dender A
4 - 1 W
37%
La Louvière H
3 - 0 W
46%
ZW A
2 - 2 D
77%
Anderlecht A
3 - 2 W
58%
La Louvière H
1 - 3 L
46%
Sint-Truiden A
1 - 2 L
73%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.9 vs 42.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Cercle Brugge outperforms Dender with 1.9 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Dender giving up 1.9 and Cercle Brugge giving up 2.1 per fixture.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Dender is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cercle Brugge faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.1 goals per match. If Dender can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Cercle Brugge. In practical terms, Cercle Brugge would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Cercle Brugge, with a 9.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-04-24), Cercle Brugge prevailed 2-1 against Dender. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Cercle Brugge secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Dender will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cercle Brugge will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-04-19), Cercle Brugge prevailed 1-4 against Dender. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Cercle Brugge achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Dender shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Cercle Brugge completely dominated Dender in that encounter, raising serious questions about Dender's ability to compete at this level. Dender will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cercle Brugge will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Dender

Dender

VS
Cercle Brugge

Cercle Brugge

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Dender

2W 1D 7L · 10 goals scored · 19 conceded

Cercle Brugge

4W 1D 5L · 19 goals scored · 21 conceded

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