Dender vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Dender vs Cercle Brugge: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Dender
Home Team
Cercle Brugge
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Dender
Draw
Cercle Brugge
Statistical Comparison
2W, 1D, 7L
4W, 1D, 5L
10 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
21 / 10 matches
-9
-2
2 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 56.6, Opponent Quality: 52.1
League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 52.4
0W / 2 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.05
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.02
Attack: 30.3, Defense: 33.3, Form: 18.2
Attack: 58.3, Defense: 27.6, Form: 36.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.9 vs 42.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Offensively, Cercle Brugge outperforms Dender with 1.9 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
The defensive records are closely aligned, with Dender giving up 1.9 and Cercle Brugge giving up 2.1 per fixture.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Dender is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cercle Brugge faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.1 goals per match. If Dender can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Cercle Brugge. In practical terms, Cercle Brugge would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Cercle Brugge, with a 9.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-04-24), Cercle Brugge prevailed 2-1 against Dender. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Cercle Brugge secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Dender will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cercle Brugge will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-04-19), Cercle Brugge prevailed 1-4 against Dender. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Cercle Brugge achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Dender shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Cercle Brugge completely dominated Dender in that encounter, raising serious questions about Dender's ability to compete at this level. Dender will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cercle Brugge will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Dender
Cercle Brugge
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Dender
2W 1D 7L · 10 goals scored · 19 conceded
Cercle Brugge
4W 1D 5L · 19 goals scored · 21 conceded
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