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Compare Denmark vs Finland

Denmark vs Finland Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Denmark vs Finland: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Denmark Denmark Home Team
Finland Finland Away Team
Denmark
61.5
W W D W D W D W W L

Last 10 Matches

Finland
46.2
W W W W W L D D L L

Performance Radar

Denmark
Finland

Categories Won

12

Denmark

3

Draw

0

Finland

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Harder (7 goals)
L. Lindström (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.8

League Difficulty: 48.5, Opponent Quality: 45.6

38.1

League Difficulty: 52.0, Opponent Quality: 49.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.88

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.22

1.85

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.05

Adjusted Power Rating
61.5

Attack: 67.8, Defense: 58.1, Form: 58.1

46.2

Attack: 52.9, Defense: 41.1, Form: 44.0

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

3
5

61-75'

6
4

76-90+'

2
Denmark
Finland
Denmark

Power Rating Breakdown

61.5

Overall

Attack 67.8
Defense 58.1
Form 58.1
Consistency 61.3
Finland

Power Rating Breakdown

46.2

Overall

Attack 52.9
Defense 41.1
Form 44.0
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

48.5 vs 52.0

Opponent Quality

45.6 vs 49.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Denmark logo Denmark
W
Serbia (38%)
W
Sweden (38%)
D
Italy (43%)
W
Sweden (42%)
D
Italy (48%)
W
Serbia (33%)
D
Norway (67%)
W
Finland (50%)
Finland logo Finland
W
Portugal (52%)
W
Slovakia (40%)
W
Latvia (29%)
W
Slovakia (35%)
W
Latvia (25%)
L
Portugal (57%)
D
Belgium (84%)
D
Austria (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Serbia A
4 - 1 W
38%
Sweden H
2 - 1 W
38%
Italy H
0 - 0 D
43%
Sweden A
2 - 1 W
42%
Italy A
1 - 1 D
48%
Serbia H
3 - 1 W
33%
Norway H
0 - 0 D
67%
Finland H
2 - 0 W
50%
Finland A
6 - 1 W
55%
Sweden A
1 - 6 L
42%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Portugal H
3 - 1 W
52%
Slovakia A
4 - 0 W
40%
Latvia A
1 - 0 W
29%
Slovakia H
4 - 2 W
35%
Latvia H
3 - 1 W
25%
Portugal A
0 - 2 L
57%
Belgium A
1 - 1 D
84%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
50%
Denmark A
0 - 2 L
64%
Denmark H
1 - 6 L
59%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.8 vs 38.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Denmark leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.1 goals per game compared to Finland's 1.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Denmark holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Finland's 1.6.

Denmark has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Denmark is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Denmark has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Finland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Denmark. In practical terms, Denmark would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Denmark emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (61.5 vs 46.2) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Women's Nations League match (2025-10-28), Denmark prevailed 2-0 against Finland. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Denmark secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Finland will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Women's Nations League match (2025-10-24), Denmark prevailed 1-6 against Finland. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Denmark achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Finland shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-6 scoreline was emphatic — Denmark completely dominated Finland in that encounter, raising serious questions about Finland's ability to compete at this level. Finland will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Denmark

Denmark

VS
Finland

Finland

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Denmark

6W 3D 1L · 21 goals scored · 12 conceded

Finland

5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 16 conceded

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