Denmark vs Serbia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.8 vs 42.5), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Denmark's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with P. Harder leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Denmark holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.2 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Serbia's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Denmark has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Denmark is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Denmark has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Denmark is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Serbia shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Denmark. In practical terms, Denmark would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Denmark holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 61.5 against 28.9 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Denmark a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-09): Denmark defeated Serbia 1-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Notably, Denmark achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Serbia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Denmark completely dominated Serbia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Serbia's ability to compete at this level. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-03): Denmark defeated Serbia 3-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Denmark secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.