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Compare Tolima vs O'Higgins

Tolima vs O'Higgins Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Tolima vs O'Higgins: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Tolima Tolima Home Team
O'Higgins O'Higgins Away Team
Tolima
41.6
L D L W W L D W L L

Last 10 Matches

O'Higgins
43.3
L W L W

Performance Radar

Tolima
O'Higgins

Categories Won

5

Tolima

5

Draw

5

O'Higgins

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

50%

2W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.8

3 / 4 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.0

4 / 4 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

2 / 4 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

25%

1 / 4 matches

Both Teams to Score
10%

1 / 10 matches

25%

1 / 4 matches

Top Scorer
L. Sandoval (2 goals)
F. González (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 1
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

100%

2W / 2 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.3

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.2

46.8

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.81

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.09

0.67

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
41.6

Attack: 28.9, Defense: 67.4, Form: 28.9

43.3

Attack: 25.8, Defense: 64.5, Form: 48.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

1

31-45'

2

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

5

76-90+'

Tolima
O'Higgins
Tolima

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 28.9
Defense 67.4
Form 28.9
Consistency 49.3
O'Higgins

Power Rating Breakdown

43.3

Overall

Attack 25.8
Defense 64.5
Form 48.4
Consistency 32.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

47.2 vs 48.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Tolima logo Tolima
L
Ind. del Valle (55%)
D
Universitario (46%)
L
Coquimbo (52%)
W
Nacional (44%)
W
Coquimbo (48%)
L
Nacional (47%)
D
Universitario (43%)
W
O'Higgins (45%)
O'Higgins logo O'Higgins
L
Tolima (47%)
W
Tolima (42%)
L
Bahia (54%)
W
Bahia (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ind. del Valle H
0 - 1 L
55%
Universitario A
0 - 0 D
46%
Coquimbo A
0 - 3 L
52%
Nacional H
3 - 0 W
44%
Coquimbo H
3 - 0 W
48%
Nacional A
1 - 3 L
47%
Universitario H
0 - 0 D
43%
O'Higgins H
2 - 0 W
45%
O'Higgins A
0 - 1 L
47%
Táchira H
0 - 1 L
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tolima A
0 - 2 L
47%
Tolima H
1 - 0 W
42%
Bahia A
1 - 2 L
54%
Bahia H
1 - 0 W
49%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.3 vs 46.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Tolima averaging 0.9 and O'Higgins averaging 0.8 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Tolima conceding 0.9 and O'Higgins conceding 1.0 per match.

Tolima has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

O'Higgins has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

O'Higgins has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 1.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: O'Higgins is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: O'Higgins's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-03-12), Tolima came out on top with a 2-0 victory over O'Higgins. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Tolima secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. O'Higgins will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Tolima will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-03-05), O'Higgins came out on top with a 1-0 victory over Tolima. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. O'Higgins secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Tolima will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. O'Higgins will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Tolima

Tolima

VS
O'Higgins

O'Higgins

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Tolima

3W 2D 5L · 9 goals scored · 9 conceded

O'Higgins

2W 0D 2L · 3 goals scored · 4 conceded

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