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Compare Derby vs Hull

Derby vs Hull Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Derby vs Hull: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Derby Derby Home Team
Hull Hull Away Team
Derby
52.2
W L W L W L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Hull
56.1
W W W D W L D D L D

Performance Radar

Derby
Hull

Categories Won

5

Derby

5

Draw

5

Hull

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 0D, 4L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Banel (3 goals)
O. McBurnie (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.1

League Difficulty: 63.0, Opponent Quality: 59.8

59.8

League Difficulty: 63.0, Opponent Quality: 57.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.67

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.17

1.46

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
52.2

Attack: 48.1, Defense: 60.9, Form: 57.7

56.1

Attack: 47.6, Defense: 80.5, Form: 43.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2

46-60'

1

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

2
Derby
Hull
Derby

Power Rating Breakdown

52.2

Overall

Attack 48.1
Defense 60.9
Form 57.7
Consistency 35.2
Hull

Power Rating Breakdown

56.1

Overall

Attack 47.6
Defense 80.5
Form 43.9
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

63.0 vs 63.0

Opponent Quality

59.8 vs 57.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Derby logo Derby
W
Alfreton (50%)
L
Sheff Utd (61%)
W
QPR (58%)
L
Norwich (67%)
W
Oxford U (55%)
L
Southampton (72%)
W
Stoke (42%)
L
Coventry (72%)
Hull logo Hull
W
Konyaspor (47%)
W
Middlesbrough (53%)
W
Millwall (60%)
D
Millwall (55%)
W
Norwich (62%)
L
Charlton (49%)
D
Leicester (59%)
D
Birmingham (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Alfreton A
2 - 0 W
50%
Sheff Utd H
1 - 2 L
61%
QPR A
3 - 2 W
58%
Norwich A
1 - 2 L
67%
Oxford U H
1 - 0 W
55%
Southampton A
1 - 2 L
72%
Stoke H
2 - 0 W
42%
Coventry A
2 - 3 L
72%
Birmingham H
1 - 0 W
59%
Portsmouth A
1 - 0 W
62%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Konyaspor A
3 - 0 W
47%
Middlesbrough H
1 - 0 W
53%
Millwall A
2 - 0 W
60%
Millwall H
0 - 0 D
55%
Norwich H
2 - 1 W
62%
Charlton A
1 - 2 L
49%
Leicester A
2 - 2 D
59%
Birmingham H
1 - 1 D
59%
Sheff Utd A
1 - 2 L
66%
Coventry H
0 - 0 D
67%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Hull has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.8) compared to Derby (SoS: 46.1). This means Hull's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Derby averaging 1.5 and Hull averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Hull has the defensive edge, conceding 0.8 per match compared to Derby's 1.1.

Hull has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Derby has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Derby has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Hull has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: Hull's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Derby

Derby

VS
Hull

Hull

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Derby

6W 0D 4L · 15 goals scored · 11 conceded

Hull

4W 4D 2L · 13 goals scored · 8 conceded

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