Derry vs Bohemians Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Bohemians has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 58.0) compared to Derry (SoS: 43.7). This means Bohemians's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

The attacking output of Derry and Bohemians is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.7 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

Bohemians holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Derry's leaky backline that surrenders 1.6 goals per match.

Derry has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bohemians has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bohemians has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Bohemians has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bohemians is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Derry shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bohemians. In practical terms, Bohemians would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Bohemians holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 64.3 against 42.2 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Irish Premier Division match (2026-06-12), Derry prevailed 4-1 against Bohemians. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Derry secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Derry completely dominated Bohemians in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bohemians's ability to compete at this level. Bohemians will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Derry will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.