Djibouti vs South Sudan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.7 vs 50.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, South Sudan outperforms Djibouti with 0.8 goals per match to 0.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, South Sudan is far superior, conceding just 1.7 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Djibouti leaks 2.8 goals per match.

Djibouti has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

South Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Djibouti is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: South Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, South Sudan faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Djibouti can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for South Sudan. In practical terms, South Sudan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

South Sudan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers (2026-03-29), Djibouti eliminated South Sudan with a 0-1 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Djibouti showed they can handle the pressure. Notably, Djibouti achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against South Sudan shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. South Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Djibouti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers (2026-03-26), South Sudan eliminated Djibouti with a 0-4 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and South Sudan showed they can handle the pressure. Notably, South Sudan achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Djibouti shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-4 scoreline was emphatic — South Sudan completely dominated Djibouti in that encounter, raising serious questions about Djibouti's ability to compete at this level. Djibouti will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. South Sudan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.