Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 43.0 vs 44.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Kilmarnock holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Dundee Utd's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Kilmarnock has the defensive edge, conceding 0.5 per match compared to Dundee Utd's 1.0.

Dundee Utd has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kilmarnock. In practical terms, Kilmarnock would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Kilmarnock in this contest. Their superior power rating of 61.8, compared to 46.4 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-02), Kilmarnock prevailed 3-0 against Dundee Utd. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Kilmarnock secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Kilmarnock completely dominated Dundee Utd in that encounter, raising serious questions about Dundee Utd's ability to compete at this level. Dundee Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kilmarnock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.