Dundee vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Dundee has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 54.6) compared to Kilmarnock (SoS: 44.2). This means Dundee's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Dundee holds the attacking edge with 2.2 goals per match versus Kilmarnock's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Kilmarnock — 0.5 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of Dundee, who give up 1.5 goals per match at the other end.

Dundee has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Dundee has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Dundee has won 6 of their last 5, while Kilmarnock has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Dundee's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-12), Kilmarnock prevailed 3-1 against Dundee. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Kilmarnock secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Dundee will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kilmarnock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 2-2 in the Scottish Premiership (2026-04-11). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.