Dundee vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.6 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Dundee holds the attacking edge with 2.2 goals per match versus St. Mirren's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

St. Mirren has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Dundee's 1.5.

St. Mirren has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Dundee has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

St. Mirren is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Dundee has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: St. Mirren has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Dundee faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If St. Mirren can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Dundee's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-02), Dundee prevailed 1-0 against St. Mirren. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Dundee secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. St. Mirren will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dundee will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.