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Compare Dunfermline vs Ross County

Dunfermline vs Ross County Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Dunfermline vs Ross County: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Dunfermline Dunfermline Home Team
Ross County Ross County Away Team
Dunfermline
46.4
W W W L L L D D W D

Last 10 Matches

Ross County
53.1
W D W D W L W W L L

Performance Radar

Dunfermline
Ross County

Categories Won

2

Dunfermline

3

Draw

10

Ross County

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Tod (4 goals)
B. Graham (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
40.9

League Difficulty: 54.7, Opponent Quality: 54.3

43.8

League Difficulty: 43.5, Opponent Quality: 44.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.47

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.07

1.98

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
46.4

Attack: 42.4, Defense: 60.6, Form: 36.4

53.1

Attack: 65.7, Defense: 50.0, Form: 46.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

1

46-60'

5
2

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

3
Dunfermline
Ross County
Dunfermline

Power Rating Breakdown

46.4

Overall

Attack 42.4
Defense 60.6
Form 36.4
Consistency 50.5
Ross County

Power Rating Breakdown

53.1

Overall

Attack 65.7
Defense 50.0
Form 46.9
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

54.7 vs 43.5

Opponent Quality

54.3 vs 44.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Dunfermline logo Dunfermline
W
St. Mirren (58%)
W
Cove Rangers (40%)
W
Dumbarton (32%)
L
East Kilbride (62%)
L
Celtic (67%)
L
Partick (70%)
D
Partick (64%)
D
Arbroath (57%)
Ross County logo Ross County
W
Airdrieonians (44%)
D
Dundee (54%)
W
Clyde (44%)
D
Nairn (47%)
W
Annan (34%)
L
Raith Rovers (54%)
W
Morton (27%)
W
Ayr Utd (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Mirren A
1 - 0 W
58%
Cove Rangers H
5 - 0 W
40%
Dumbarton H
4 - 1 W
32%
East Kilbride A
0 - 3 L
62%
Celtic A
1 - 3 L
67%
Partick A
1 - 2 L
70%
Partick H
1 - 1 D
64%
Arbroath A
0 - 0 D
57%
Arbroath H
1 - 0 W
52%
Arbroath H
0 - 0 D
41%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Airdrieonians A
3 - 0 W
44%
Dundee H
1 - 1 D
54%
Clyde H
3 - 1 W
44%
Nairn A
2 - 2 D
47%
Annan A
4 - 1 W
34%
Raith Rovers A
2 - 3 L
54%
Morton H
4 - 0 W
27%
Ayr Utd H
2 - 1 W
47%
Queen's Park A
0 - 1 L
52%
Airdrieonians H
0 - 4 L
37%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 40.9 vs 43.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Ross County outperforms Dunfermline with 2.1 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Dunfermline's backline outperforms Ross County's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.4.

Ross County has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Dunfermline has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Ross County has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ross County faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Dunfermline can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 67% win probability for Ross County. In practical terms, Ross County would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Ross County, with a 6.7-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Dunfermline

Dunfermline

VS
Ross County

Ross County

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Dunfermline

4W 3D 3L · 14 goals scored · 10 conceded

Ross County

5W 2D 3L · 21 goals scored · 14 conceded

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