Durham vs Birmingham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.9 vs 48.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Durham averaging 1.4 and Birmingham averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Defensively, Birmingham holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Durham's 1.6.

Durham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Birmingham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Birmingham is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Birmingham has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Birmingham is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Durham shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Birmingham. In practical terms, Birmingham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Birmingham, with a 14.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the English WSL 2 (2026-02-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.