Durham vs Ipswich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Durham has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 44.9) compared to Ipswich (SoS: 34.2). This means Durham's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Durham averaging 1.4 and Ipswich averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Ipswich's backline outperforms Durham's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.

Durham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Ipswich has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ipswich faces a key vulnerability: they have kept only 1 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. If Durham can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Ipswich. In practical terms, Ipswich would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

While Ipswich holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 5.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent English WSL 2 match (2026-03-15), Ipswich prevailed 2-1 against Durham. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ipswich secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Durham will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ipswich will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.