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Compare East Kilbride vs Annan

East Kilbride vs Annan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare East Kilbride vs Annan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

East Kilbride East Kilbride Home Team
Annan Annan Away Team
East Kilbride
58.0
L W L W W W W L W D

Last 10 Matches

Annan
26.8
L L L L D L L W L W

Performance Radar

East Kilbride
Annan

Categories Won

9

East Kilbride

5

Draw

1

Annan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
2.6

26 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-15

-15

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Elliott (6 goals)
A. Smith (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
100%

5W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
38.6

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 39.5

40.7

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 43.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.34

Actual: 2.6 | Diff: +0.26

0.62

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.28

Adjusted Power Rating
58.0

Attack: 76.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.2

26.8

Attack: 27.2, Defense: 18.1, Form: 18.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

5

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

6

61-75'

4

76-90+'

5
East Kilbride
Annan
East Kilbride

Power Rating Breakdown

58.0

Overall

Attack 76.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.2
Consistency 43.3
Annan

Power Rating Breakdown

26.8

Overall

Attack 27.2
Defense 18.1
Form 18.1
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

37.2 vs 37.2

Opponent Quality

39.5 vs 43.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
East Kilbride logo East Kilbride
L
St. Mirren (58%)
W
Dumbarton (32%)
L
Cove Rangers (45%)
W
Dunfermline (50%)
W
Clyde (38%)
W
Dumbarton (31%)
W
Edinburgh City (36%)
L
Forfar (44%)
Annan logo Annan
L
Clyde (49%)
L
Airdrieonians (44%)
L
Dundee (54%)
L
Ross County (53%)
D
Forfar (39%)
L
Clyde (43%)
L
Spartans (32%)
W
Elgin (28%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Mirren A
3 - 4 L
58%
Dumbarton H
5 - 3 W
32%
Cove Rangers A
2 - 3 L
45%
Dunfermline H
3 - 0 W
50%
Clyde H
5 - 0 W
38%
Dumbarton A
1 - 0 W
31%
Edinburgh City H
4 - 0 W
36%
Forfar A
0 - 1 L
44%
Annan H
2 - 1 W
24%
Spartans A
1 - 1 D
37%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Clyde A
1 - 4 L
49%
Airdrieonians A
0 - 3 L
44%
Dundee H
0 - 5 L
54%
Ross County H
1 - 4 L
53%
Forfar H
1 - 1 D
39%
Clyde A
1 - 3 L
43%
Spartans H
0 - 2 L
32%
Elgin A
3 - 0 W
28%
East Kilbride A
1 - 2 L
57%
Stranraer H
1 - 0 W
32%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (38.6 vs 40.7), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

East Kilbride's attack is on another level, averaging 2.6 goals per match with C. Elliott leading the charge (6 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for East Kilbride — 1.3 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Annan, who give up 2.4 goals per match at the other end.

East Kilbride has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Annan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

East Kilbride has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: East Kilbride has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Annan is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. East Kilbride is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Annan shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, East Kilbride faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Annan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 31.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for East Kilbride. In practical terms, East Kilbride would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, East Kilbride emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 58.0 compared to 26.8, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects East Kilbride as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Scottish League Two match (2026-04-04), East Kilbride prevailed 2-1 against Annan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. East Kilbride secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Annan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. East Kilbride will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

East Kilbride

East Kilbride

VS
Annan

Annan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

East Kilbride

6W 1D 3L · 26 goals scored · 13 conceded

Annan

2W 1D 7L · 9 goals scored · 24 conceded

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