Eastbourne vs Worthing Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 38.3 vs 38.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Worthing leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.3 goals per game compared to Eastbourne's 1.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Worthing is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Eastbourne leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Eastbourne has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Worthing has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Worthing has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Eastbourne is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Worthing has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Worthing is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Eastbourne shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Worthing. In practical terms, Worthing would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Worthing emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.4 vs 30.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-03), Worthing prevailed 2-1 against Eastbourne. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Worthing secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Eastbourne will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Worthing will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.