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Compare Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough

Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ebbsfleet vs Farnborough: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ebbsfleet Ebbsfleet Home Team
Farnborough Farnborough Away Team
Ebbsfleet
46.3
D L W L W W W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Farnborough
46.3
L W L W W L D W W L

Performance Radar

Ebbsfleet
Farnborough

Categories Won

4

Ebbsfleet

6

Draw

5

Farnborough

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Appiah (6 goals)
M. Bloomfield (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.3

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 41.1

35.6

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 38.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.41

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.39

1.99

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.41

Adjusted Power Rating
46.3

Attack: 52.4, Defense: 46.6, Form: 43.6

46.3

Attack: 68.5, Defense: 28.5, Form: 42.8

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

5
1

46-60'

5
3

61-75'

7
4

76-90+'

2
Ebbsfleet
Farnborough
Ebbsfleet

Power Rating Breakdown

46.3

Overall

Attack 52.4
Defense 46.6
Form 43.6
Consistency 38.8
Farnborough

Power Rating Breakdown

46.3

Overall

Attack 68.5
Defense 28.5
Form 42.8
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

31.5 vs 31.5

Opponent Quality

41.1 vs 38.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Ebbsfleet logo Ebbsfleet
D
Cardiff Met (43%)
L
Worthing (60%)
W
Hampton & RB (39%)
L
Hornchurch (58%)
W
Dover (20%)
W
Tonbridge (47%)
W
Slough (21%)
L
Weston-s-Mare (36%)
Farnborough logo Farnborough
L
Aldershot (42%)
W
Totton (43%)
L
Tonbridge (42%)
W
Dover (25%)
W
Horsham (33%)
L
Hampton & RB (44%)
D
Hornchurch (53%)
W
Chelmsford (40%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cardiff Met H
1 - 1 D
43%
Worthing A
0 - 2 L
60%
Hampton & RB H
4 - 0 W
39%
Hornchurch A
0 - 1 L
58%
Dover H
4 - 0 W
20%
Tonbridge A
2 - 1 W
47%
Slough H
2 - 1 W
21%
Weston-s-Mare H
1 - 3 L
36%
Maidenhead A
3 - 2 W
48%
Dorking A
1 - 3 L
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aldershot A
1 - 2 L
42%
Totton A
6 - 1 W
43%
Tonbridge H
1 - 6 L
42%
Dover A
3 - 1 W
25%
Horsham H
2 - 0 W
33%
Hampton & RB A
1 - 3 L
44%
Hornchurch H
2 - 2 D
53%
Chelmsford H
4 - 2 W
40%
Slough H
2 - 0 W
21%
Dag & Red H
2 - 3 L
40%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.3 vs 35.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Farnborough outperforms Ebbsfleet with 2.4 goals per match to 1.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Ebbsfleet has the defensive edge, conceding 1.4 per match compared to Farnborough's 2.0.

Ebbsfleet has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Farnborough has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Ebbsfleet has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Farnborough has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Ebbsfleet's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ebbsfleet

Ebbsfleet

VS
Farnborough

Farnborough

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ebbsfleet

5W 1D 4L · 18 goals scored · 14 conceded

Farnborough

5W 1D 4L · 24 goals scored · 20 conceded

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