Ecuador vs Guatemala Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 55.6 vs 58.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Ecuador in front of goal. Their 1.6 average per fixture tells the story, with N/A driving that output personally responsible for 0 goals this campaign.

Ecuador holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.2 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Guatemala's leaky backline that surrenders 3.0 goals per match.

Guatemala has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Ecuador is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Guatemala is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 31.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Ecuador. In practical terms, Ecuador would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Ecuador emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 52.1 compared to 20.4, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Ecuador as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-07-02), Ecuador prevailed 1-0 against Guatemala. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ecuador secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Guatemala will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ecuador will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-06-28), Ecuador prevailed 4-0 against Guatemala. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ecuador secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Ecuador completely dominated Guatemala in that encounter, raising serious questions about Guatemala's ability to compete at this level. Guatemala will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ecuador will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.