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Compare Ecuador vs Brazil

Ecuador vs Brazil Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ecuador vs Brazil: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ecuador Ecuador Home Team
Brazil Brazil Away Team
Ecuador
55.1
L W D L W W D D W D

Last 10 Matches

Brazil
72.4
L W W W D W W W L D

Performance Radar

Ecuador
Brazil

Categories Won

3

Ecuador

1

Draw

11

Brazil

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Angulo (3 goals)
Vinícius Júnior (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

56%

5W / 9 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

100%

1W / 1 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.4

League Difficulty: 82.0, Opponent Quality: 66.8

63.6

League Difficulty: 82.5, Opponent Quality: 63.9

Elite Opponent Record
17%

1W / 6 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.24

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.14

2.59

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.29

Adjusted Power Rating
55.1

Attack: 40.5, Defense: 84.6, Form: 44.2

72.4

Attack: 87.1, Defense: 71.9, Form: 68.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

8
1

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

6
Ecuador
Brazil
Ecuador

Power Rating Breakdown

55.1

Overall

Attack 40.5
Defense 84.6
Form 44.2
Consistency 56.8
Brazil

Power Rating Breakdown

72.4

Overall

Attack 87.1
Defense 71.9
Form 68.2
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

82.0 vs 82.5

Opponent Quality

66.8 vs 63.9

Elite Opponent Record

17% vs 33%
Ecuador logo Ecuador
L
Mexico (84%)
W
Germany (84%)
D
Curaçao (54%)
L
Ivory Coast (78%)
W
Guatemala (47%)
W
Saudi Arabia (50%)
D
Netherlands (77%)
D
Morocco (80%)
Brazil logo Brazil
L
Norway (67%)
W
Japan (78%)
W
Scotland (68%)
W
Haiti (54%)
D
Morocco (78%)
W
Egypt (64%)
W
Panama (52%)
W
Croatia (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mexico A
0 - 2 L
84%
Germany H
2 - 1 W
84%
Curaçao H
0 - 0 D
54%
Ivory Coast A
0 - 1 L
78%
Guatemala H
3 - 0 W
47%
Saudi Arabia H
2 - 1 W
50%
Netherlands A
1 - 1 D
77%
Morocco A
1 - 1 D
80%
New Zealand H
2 - 0 W
43%
Canada A
0 - 0 D
71%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Norway H
1 - 2 L
67%
Japan H
2 - 1 W
78%
Scotland A
3 - 0 W
68%
Haiti H
3 - 0 W
54%
Morocco H
1 - 1 D
78%
Egypt H
2 - 1 W
64%
Panama H
6 - 2 W
52%
Croatia H
3 - 1 W
63%
France H
1 - 2 L
72%
Tunisia H
1 - 1 D
43%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.4 vs 63.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Brazil possess a formidable attacking unit, with Vinícius Júnior accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.3 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Ecuador has the defensive edge, conceding 0.7 per match compared to Brazil's 1.1.

Ecuador has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Brazil has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Ecuador has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Brazil is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Ecuador has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Brazil has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Brazil. In practical terms, Brazil would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Brazil emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (72.4 vs 55.1) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ecuador

Ecuador

VS
Brazil

Brazil

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ecuador

4W 4D 2L · 11 goals scored · 7 conceded

Brazil

6W 2D 2L · 23 goals scored · 11 conceded

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