Egypt vs Tunisia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 71.0 vs 68.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Tunisia in front of goal. Their 4.4 average per fixture tells the story, with N/A driving that output personally responsible for 0 goals this campaign.

Tunisia holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Egypt's leaky backline that surrenders 1.7 goals per match.

Egypt has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Tunisia has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Tunisia has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Egypt is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 4.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Egypt is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Tunisia faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Egypt can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Tunisia. In practical terms, Tunisia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Tunisia is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 83.9 vs 51.2, and superior metrics across the board, Tunisia should win this comfortably.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 2-2 in the Internationals Women (2026-06-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Internationals Women (2026-06-05). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.